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Federal election: The emerging trend and the key difference with 2019

Scott Emerson

For the first time in two years, Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese has equalled Scott Morrison as Australia’s preferred prime minister, but political experts say Labor’s not celebrating yet.

The Coalition still trails Labor 45 to 55 in the two-party preferred stakes.

The survey period covered the flood events in Queensland and Russia’s invasion in Ukraine.

4BC federal political editor Michael Pachi said if it was replicated on election day, Labor would “sweep up” many seats across the country, leaving the Coalition “decimated”.

“I don’t know the election result ill be that bad, but it does appear that a trend is starting to emerge now, that Labor is likely to win the election, it looks as though there will be a change in government,” he told Scott Emerson.

“The reason I say that, you’ve got to look at Labor’s primary vote, it still sits at 41 per cent, which is a pretty healthy level.”

But he says many in Labor aren’t getting too excited, yet, after what happened in 2019 when the ALP lost the election in a landslide.

“The only difference this time around, is that the polls not only do how that Labor holds a healthy margin over the Coalition, they also showed that Anthony Albanese is well and truly neck and neck with Scott Morrison as preferred prime minister, and that’s really the new headline here.”

Press PLAY below to hear his insights, as well as the biggest issue for voters

Scott Emerson
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