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Bail-out?

Posted by: Michael Smith | 21 October, 2008 - 12:53 PM
rudd

Nobody should think that the Federal Government's $10.4 billion redistribution of money from some taxpayers to others is going to fix the problem that got us into this economic crisis.

It simply won't.

At the best, it's a short-term response and then only to a symptom of the illness - we are living on too much borrowed money and we don't create enough stuff of value to pay for it.

The economic growth that this government and the previous Liberal government crow about is built largely on a mirage. Our domestic consumption is funded by debt - which means it's funded by money we expect to earn tomorrow and not money we have earned today. Debt is OK if it goes towards assets that will make tomorrow better or more productive - a hospital, a new road, or a port. Or towards a major asset that you believe will grow in value beyond the cost of the money - such as a house at the right price.

But when the debt goes to pay for rubbish - plasmas, holidays, credit card purchases - the economy can end up in real trouble.

Our capacity to borrow is finite and it's clear our whole country gets the wobbles when the credit starts to dry up.

Rather than talk about addressing this very difficult problem, the Federal Government's response is to tip more money into consumption so that we'll buy more stuff in the lead-up to Christmas. Economists call it stimulating the demand-side. That should have the very short-term effect of keeping us out of a technical recession for another quarter. But it doesn't address our underlying problem at all.

We need to be more productive and to match our growth in consumption with our ability to pay for it. It's a hard thing to say to people - it will sound harsh - and our political leaders on both sides are avoiding it.

If Kevin Rudd was fair dinkum about the well-being of families, he would be saying two things. The first is to pay down debt. Ultimately that's the painful reality - in the short term we have to reduce our reliance on tomorrow's money.

Secondly if you want to spend more money - either as a country or as individuals or families - find a way to produce more stuff of value. Earn more money. Be more productive. Sell more stuff.

But he doesn't say that.

Consume, consume, consume. That's the mantra coming from the Federal Government. And it's a mantra that will lead us into trouble.

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